Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.328454 0.384577 0.449737 0.531549 0.632322 0.753426 0.911545
2025-07-27 0.252994 0.326204 0.422132 0.559644 0.756126 1.033840 1.469444
2025-08-03 0.207842 0.287285 0.401082 0.581704 0.872516 1.344120 2.216896
2025-08-10 0.175019 0.254949 0.377543 0.588491 0.963174 1.646905 3.117266
2025-08-17 0.150921 0.229309 0.356420 0.590407 1.042718 1.960057 4.232435
2025-08-24 0.131850 0.207423 0.335792 0.586097 1.107192 2.270182 5.565524
2025-08-31 0.116071 0.187999 0.315075 0.575467 1.154219 2.563422 7.101529
2025-09-07 0.106803 0.178144 0.309317 0.592271 1.266267 3.070935 9.798349
2025-09-14 0.095774 0.163374 0.291555 0.579405 1.304100 3.402309 12.275800
2025-09-21 0.088401 0.154291 0.283246 0.585235 1.391603 3.934303 16.356040
2025-09-28 0.081416 0.144969 0.272860 0.583763 1.459498 4.449926 21.276332
2025-10-05 0.077105 0.140302 0.271394 0.603535 1.597183 5.318769 30.210266
2025-10-12 0.072911 0.135457 0.269060 0.621561 1.741569 6.355800 43.652721
2025-10-19 0.068909 0.130527 0.265823 0.636828 1.886589 7.551158 63.618222
2025-10-26 0.065635 0.126728 0.264591 0.657606 2.063422 9.114447 97.022627
2025-11-02 0.061875 0.121409 0.258903 0.664146 2.191785 10.586902 141.570156
2025-11-09 0.058259 0.115992 0.252167 0.666013 2.304539 12.137528 205.728705
2025-11-16 0.054675 0.110256 0.243813 0.660927 2.387301 13.630817 293.027590
2025-11-23 0.051121 0.104226 0.233896 0.648594 2.433451 14.951215 405.060383
2025-11-30 0.049239 0.101913 0.233404 0.668048 2.645192 18.091115 708.799876
2025-12-07 0.046156 0.096430 0.223676 0.653145 2.677201 19.655182 1005.936956
2025-12-14 0.044146 0.093353 0.220146 0.659896 2.831978 22.903702 1748.968586
2025-12-21 0.041998 0.089735 0.214642 0.658191 2.941294 25.972566 2976.025012